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Questions about game statistics, e.g. the winning percentage of a "line," the probability of some event occurring in a game, or player statistics.

4 votes
3 answers
1k views

Is it true that amateur players tend to choose the advance variation after 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5?

My database shows that after 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5, white has the following main variations: Nc3 exd5 e5 and they are equally popular among professional players. However, from my experience …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
13 votes
2 answers
1k views

Statistics on rejected draw offers

I am wondering if there are any statistics on rejected draw offers (say of GM games). … By the way, this statistics may be useful in determining whether it is wiser to accept most draw offers or not. …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
4 votes
6 answers
1k views

Is my low blitz game drawing rate at www.chess.com an indicator that I am weak in chess?

I have played 630 blitz game at chess.com and only 10.3% of my games are draw; see the diagram. When I play black, my drawing rate is slightly higher than my drawing rate playing white. This is lik …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
1 vote
3 answers
1k views

Why I did not see the first-mover advantage in my game history? [closed]

I have played over a thousand blitz games at chess.com and here are the results: I failed to notice any obvious difference between white and black. In other word, I do not see the the first-mover a …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
2 votes
2 answers
157 views

Are there any moves that are more popular in databases of GM games but are objectively infer...

Usually in a particular opening position, if move A is more popular (in GM games) than move B, then either move A is objectively better than move B, or move A is equally good as move B. Are there an …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
3 votes
1 answer
3k views

Most drawish and least drawish opening

Based on statistics (drawing percentage), which opening is the most drawish and which one is the least drawish? I am aware of questions such as this one, but my question is different. …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
30 votes
2 answers
9k views

How often does castling occur in grandmaster games?

May I know how to find in all grandmaster games, what the percentage of each of the following is? Kingside castling Queenside castling Never castled by the end of the game but still has the right to …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
5 votes
3 answers
181 views

Why is there a clear difference in master's and other player' opening choice?

For example, based on the database at lichess, after 1. e4, 46.3% of the master games continue with 1... c5 while only 23.4% of all games continue with 1... c5 (31.7% continue with 1... e5). Another e …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
2 votes
4 answers
422 views

Why is the outdated Steinitz Defense still so popular among non-professionals?

The Steinitz Defense is generally considered outdated by modern professional players. However, according to the Lichess Database, the move 3... d6 is actually the second most popular choice after 1.e4 …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
4 votes
1 answer
244 views

What are the most popular blunders in the opening stage?

According to the data base at lichess, after 1. d4 Nf6 2. c4 e5 3. dxe5 Ng4 4. Bf4 Nc6 5. Nf3 Bb4+ 6. Nbd2 Qe7 7. a3 Ngxe5, 8. axb4?? has been played 27,409 times (including played by a player with a …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
7 votes
1 answer
1k views

Can the "bishop pair advantage" be supported by statistics?

I heard a lot about the advantage of having a bishop pair and I am interested in the statistics about this. …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
5 votes
6 answers
282 views

In the opening stage, can we determine that one move is better than another by looking at wi...

After 1.c4 Nf6 2. Nc3 g6, thousands of games have been played with the following two moves of white: 3.g3 and 3.e4. It seems that the winning percentage suggested that 3.e4 is clearly better than 3.g …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299
10 votes
3 answers
2k views

Why after 1. d4 Nf6, 2. c4 is so common but after 1. c4 Nf6, 2. d4 is so rare?

I am using Lichess's master database and after 1. d4 Nf6, 71.63% of the game continues with 2. c4. However, after 1. c4 Nf6, only 5.22% of the game continues with 2. d4. Are they not essentially the s …
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,299