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Oct 31, 2018 at 7:53 comment added Glorfindel Yeah, maybe they have a slightly different formula for the tails. It could be that they don't want people to gain rating from playing a lot of games against much weaker opponents, and therefore using a slightly higher expected score.
Oct 31, 2018 at 7:49 comment added user1205901 - Слава Україні I checked some calculations in MATLAB. I get that if I enter for example 1/(1 + 10^((300-392)/400)) it equals 0.6294 just like you said. However, if I enter 1/(1 + 10^((300-838)/400)) I get 0.9568, when the table seems to indicate that a difference of 538 rating points should accord to .97. The table seems to be slightly 'out' in relation to your formula as soon as we get into high probabilities.
Oct 31, 2018 at 7:32 history edited Glorfindel CC BY-SA 4.0
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Jan 18, 2018 at 15:53 history edited Glorfindel CC BY-SA 3.0
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Jan 18, 2018 at 15:46 history answered Glorfindel CC BY-SA 3.0