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Questions tagged [statistics]

Questions about game statistics, e.g. the winning percentage of a "line," the probability of some event occurring in a game, or player statistics.

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Which side has the advantage in an Armageddon tiebreak game?

It is generally considered that white has better chances of winning in chess. This is due to white's initiative, since white gets to move first. The difference in chances seems to get more significant,...
Zvonimir's user avatar
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-2 votes
1 answer
235 views

List of records for youngest female international masters since 1950? [duplicate]

Note: I really mean female IMs and not WIMs All IM version: List of records for youngest international masters since 1950? WIM version: List of records for youngest WIMs (woman international masters) ...
BCLC's user avatar
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4 votes
2 answers
4k views

List of female chess players by peak FIDE rating

Update: The answer currently doesn't include countries and other trivia like in the original one. Please consider posting an answer with at least the countries or editing current answer to include ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
1 vote
2 answers
664 views

List of female chess players by peak FIDE rating with countries?

same question as here but with countries please. hopefully we can have a list as close to the original wiki page as possible. I'll start: 1 - Hungary - Judit Polgar - 2735 - 2005-07 - 1976 - N/A - ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
-5 votes
3 answers
477 views

How do I find data to determine records like the youngest person to obtain a certain title?

A. Background: Under Mobeus Zoom's suggestion here: List of records for youngest superGMs since 1950? (or 1970 or whenever FIDE started rating people. or basically after 2700s after Fischer) (this is ...
BCLC's user avatar
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48 votes
5 answers
71k views

What is the average length of a game of chess?

I hope this is an appropriate question for this site as I've been wanting a reputable answer. Of course the length of games can vary wildly, but what is the expected number of moves until either a ...
Zong's user avatar
  • 651
5 votes
1 answer
8k views

List of chess players by their peak FIDE blitz rating

I've come across a list of the highest FIDE ratings ever achieved by all 2700+ players in the 2700chess.com: This shows all the players above 2700 in classical ordered by their FIDE peak rating. It ...
Isac's user avatar
  • 703
-2 votes
1 answer
471 views

Why would I bid for white in armageddon (in regular chess)?

Related: Regular chess: Why would I bid for white in armageddon (in regular chess)? Chess960: Why would I bid for white in armageddon in chess960? Were there armageddons where white gets lower time or ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
27 votes
8 answers
5k views

Does the first-move advantage for White have real meaning apart from the highest levels of play?

Most games that involve taking turns, with one player going first by lot or agreement, have some sort of advantage to going first. Tic-tac-toe, for instance, is a guaranteed draw for player 1, ...
Jonathan Garber's user avatar
12 votes
3 answers
4k views

Computer evaluations: How trustworthy are they?

Fritz 12 with Rybka gave a friend of mine an evaluation of +3 for white in this endgame position, [Title "White to move"] [FEN "8/8/8/3k3p/3P3K/2P3R1/8/7r w - - 0 1"] which turned out to be a draw. ...
chubbycantorset's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
429 views

Winning percentage (white win/draw/black win) in chess960/9LX in 2021?

How does the winning percentage (white win/draw/black win) in chess 960 (Fischer random) compare to that of regular chess? The above was asked here: Winning percentage in chess 960. I would like to ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
0 votes
1 answer
111 views

Armageddon: Does / Should White have a lower advantage in chess960 compared to chess?

I'm not (necessarily) asking which colour is more favoured in armageddon chess960. I'm asking that given however much or little white has an advantage of armageddon chess, is this advantage lower in ...
BCLC's user avatar
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-1 votes
1 answer
135 views

Is Armageddon always without increment?

Robert Hess said tells Danya that no increment influences why Robert prefers white to black in Armageddon chess960. Of course it really depends on the bid, but I guess Robert would want a lower bid ...
BCLC's user avatar
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-2 votes
1 answer
257 views

List of records for youngest female grandmasters since 1950?

On Wiki, we have a list for List of youngest grandmasters since 1950. What about female GMs (really female GMs and not WGMs) instead of GMs? I guess the list ends with Judit Polgar, Koneru Humpy and ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
-2 votes
3 answers
687 views

On average, how many pawns are there at the start of the endgame?

Question: On average, how many pawns are there at the start of the endgame? To answer: You can choose your definition of the endgame as long as you can show a credible reference that supports your ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
28 votes
2 answers
1k views

How do age and initial rating correlate to decline in playing strength with age?

The current Rausis phone cheating scandal saw a player with an initial rating of about 2500 in his 50's improve by about 200 rating points in 6 years. This improvement was remarkable because older ...
Brian Towers's user avatar
  • 98.6k
19 votes
9 answers
104k views

Is the number of possible chess games infinite?

This question is somewhat related to Can the total number of possible wins/draws/losses be calculated?, but slightly different. There is a recent TV show episode that claims that there are "more ...
landroni's user avatar
  • 299
12 votes
8 answers
8k views

Bishop vs Knight

I read in a book written by Fischer about piece values, and he said that a knight is worth 3 pawns, and a bishop is worth 3,25 pawns. I know that in closed positions knights are better, and I have ...
Ghita Tomoiaga's user avatar
3 votes
1 answer
275 views

List of female chess players by their peak FIDE blitz rating

Similar to these: List of female chess players by peak FIDE rating List of female chess players by peak FIDE rating with countries? List of chess players by their peak FIDE blitz rating List of ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
2 votes
1 answer
3k views

List of chess players by their peak FIDE rapid rating

Similar to these: List of female chess players by peak FIDE rating List of female chess players by peak FIDE rating with countries? List of chess players by their peak FIDE blitz rating List of ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
1 vote
2 answers
2k views

For long OTB games, what is the percentage of players who have a rating which is below X FIDE Elo?

I am looking for statistics on the FIDE Elo of chess players. I would like to know what is the percentage of players who have a rating which is: Below 1000 Elo Below 800 Elo Below 600 Elo Below 400 ...
Fate's user avatar
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0 votes
1 answer
127 views

Armageddon: How much more desirable is black in chess than chess960 based on airthings masters 2023 vs 2022 WFRCC?

All games in question are 15 minutes. In the 4 armageddon games in the 2022 (inaugural rapid, not the real, classical) WFRCC (both qualifiers and final 8), the Black winning bids are: 13,13,11:10,11:...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
-1 votes
1 answer
317 views

List of records for youngest WFMs (woman FIDE masters) since 1950 (or whenever)? [duplicate]

On Wiki, we have the List of youngest grandmasters since 1950. What about WFMs (woman FIDE masters) instead of GMs? Note 1: I really mean to ask about WFMs (females who obtain the female exclusive ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
10 votes
4 answers
2k views

Are world-class correspondence games more likely to be drawn than world class OTB games?

A games of chess with perfect play from both sides may be a draw. And while we don't have any perfect chess players it does seem that a match between two equally strong grandmasters is more likely to ...
kuzzooroo's user avatar
  • 347
8 votes
1 answer
6k views

Minimum moves to checkmate?

What is the minimum number of moves, counting both sides, in which a checkmate can be made?
Subhash Singh Rawat's user avatar
8 votes
3 answers
6k views

Elo distribution

In some online chess platforms you can see the Elo distribution of the players. It usually has Gaussian form. Is there somewhere where you can find the distribution of the classical Fide Elo?
SharkCaller's user avatar
6 votes
1 answer
1k views

Winning percentage in chess 960

How does the winning percentage (white win/draw/black win) in chess 960 (Fischer random) compare to that of regular chess? Are there more white wins, fewer draws,...?
user1583209's user avatar
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5 votes
3 answers
887 views

What are the winning chances of every pieces? (6men egtb)

Is there a site or document which shows what the winning chances are of every "Specific Pieces vs. Specific Pieces" endgame? e.g. What are the winning chances of Rook & Bishop vs 2 Knights?
user5649's user avatar
  • 423
4 votes
2 answers
488 views

How much FIDE rated chess was played in April 2020?

FIDE has just published the May 2020 rating list which brings the ratings up to date for games played in April. The rating file can be downloaded from the FIDE download page. Many countries have ...
Brian Towers's user avatar
  • 98.6k
3 votes
5 answers
2k views

What are the first moves chosen (White), by brute force chess engines?

Title says it all. Feel free to add comment, theory, or explanation. Just to clarify, this is only regarding turn 1 of White, and no proceeding turns after it.
Anon's user avatar
  • 635
2 votes
1 answer
265 views

Live statistics chess960 from chess.com?

Cross-posted stackoverflow, but nothing. Both lichess and chess.com have the feature to play the variant chess960 live. However, only lichess has a graph showing how your live chess960 rating has ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
1 vote
2 answers
142 views

Is armageddon more fair if bids aren't 1-time only?

As pointed out by GeneM here Armageddon Chess is a fair tie-break system only if the two players bid for how much time Black should have. Question: But is it actually more fair if the bids are the ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
1 vote
2 answers
274 views

Is armageddon more fair in a Vickrey auction?

I believe armageddon is fair only if they bid, but just because they bid doesn't mean it's fair, i.e. bidding is necessary but not sufficient to be fair. Which side has the advantage in an Armageddon ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
1 vote
2 answers
508 views

In armageddon bidding, what happens if the bid is drawn?

Re armageddon, there is sometimes bidding ("how much time they're willing to give up to play with their desired color") instead of pre-determined 5min vs 4min. What happens if the bid is ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
0 votes
1 answer
516 views

What is the mean and standard deviation for men's and then women's standard FIDE ratings for those 2000 and above?

From this answer, the unconditional means and standard deviations are Female Mean = 1505, standard deviation = 339 Male Mean = 1675, standard deviation = 346 What about the case for ratings of 2000+ ? ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
-1 votes
2 answers
935 views

Why don't these statistics disprove white's supposed larger (practical?) advantage in chess960?

I've read that, at least theoretically, white has a larger advantage in 9LX as compared to chess. (See appendix.) This seems to be assumed in practice to the point that in some 9LX tournaments, such ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
-4 votes
2 answers
566 views

List of records for youngest WCMs (woman candidate masters) since 1950? [duplicate]

Re the close: If it was really a duplicate then why didn't Brian Towers♦ answer on the other post? Checkmate! On Wiki, we have the List of youngest grandmasters since 1950. What about WCMs (woman ...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
37 votes
2 answers
3k views

Do strong players move their pieces with different relative frequencies than weak players?

This question is an offshoot of Ramon Snir's earlier one about how often different types of pieces get moved, on average, in a game of chess. My question: Do the relative numbers of moves for the ...
ETD's user avatar
  • 23.5k
30 votes
2 answers
9k views

How often does castling occur in grandmaster games?

May I know how to find in all grandmaster games, what the percentage of each of the following is? Kingside castling Queenside castling Never castled by the end of the game but still has the right to ...
Zuriel's user avatar
  • 9,091
27 votes
5 answers
8k views

Are chess players getting better, given the same rating?

Chess ratings are a relative thing at a particular time, just like boxing. It is not absolute, compared to weightlifting for example, in which the records keep getting broken. How would say a 1700 ...
Autistic's user avatar
  • 399
20 votes
4 answers
7k views

How often do grandmasters miss checkmate?

Although top players are extremely good at finding checkmate, the number of permutations of moves in just 3 moves can be hundreds of thousands, and the farther out the possible mate (e.g. mate in 4, ...
stevec's user avatar
  • 2,107
17 votes
3 answers
5k views

Are there statistics on the results of armageddon games at the GM level?

I've tried finding statistics on the results of competitive armageddon games played at a high level (say, GM level), but to no avail. Evidently, these statistics must exist, as for example FIDE ...
ATLPoly's user avatar
  • 642
16 votes
1 answer
12k views

What is the average age to become a grandmaster?

On average, what is the age of people when they obtain the title of international master or grandmaster? I also wonder how the age distribution looks like.
Maxwell86's user avatar
  • 5,546
14 votes
2 answers
3k views

Piece movement statistics

I have wondered about piece movement statistics, for example: How many times is a piece moved in average (in general, but also per-piece, as I'm guessing the Queen moves more than any specific pawn)? ...
Ramon Snir's user avatar
13 votes
2 answers
4k views

What merit is there to the so-called "Swiss gambit?"

The "Swiss gambit" refers to the idea of intentionally lowering one's performance at the beginning of a Swiss-system tournament, to one degree or another, in order to have an easier path through the ...
ETD's user avatar
  • 23.5k
11 votes
5 answers
9k views

Is it true that Chess is generally more played by men?

I have recently heard that the only 5% percent out of entire chess players are women. I find this suspicious. Who says that only men can play chess? Is this statistic true, and if it is, why?
Phonics The Hedgehog's user avatar
10 votes
5 answers
2k views

Which piece is least likely to be taken?

If one were to analyse a large number of chess games, which specific piece (not type of piece) would be found to be taken the least number of times? And yes, in light of SomePatzer's comment, besides ...
Lyndsey's user avatar
  • 109
9 votes
3 answers
5k views

Has any other grandmaster gone as long undefeated like Capablanca?

Between 1916 and 1924, future World Champion J.R. Capablanca, as of 1921, experienced a period of eight years without a single tournament defeat. He was then regarded as one of the world's best ...
Tom Au's user avatar
  • 12.4k
7 votes
1 answer
952 views

Relation between ratings for Chess960 and standard chess

Is there any relation or any attempt at discovering a relation between Chess960 ratings and standard chess ratings? This can be for GMs, for (any)M's, for pro players, or for all players on lichess/...
BCLC's user avatar
  • 2,178
6 votes
2 answers
1k views

Can the total number of possible wins/draws/losses be calculated?

http://s13.postimg.org/miyhhh113/chess_finite_graph.png I'm trying to imagine the finite graph of all positions in chess. Due to the sheer number of possible positions, it is impossible with current ...
Anomalous Awe's user avatar