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In the albin countergambit, after this line:

  1. d4 d5 2. c4 e5 3. dxe5 d4 4. e3 Bb4+ 5. Bd2 dxe3 6. fxe3 Qh4+ 7. g3 Qe4 8. Qf3 Bxd2+ 9. Nxd2 Qxe5 enter image description here Why is the position better for black? Is it the fact that white has three pawn islands whilst black only has two? It's -1 for black according to stockfish and 60% winrate for black according to Lichess.

Is there a reason I'm not seeing?

Thanks!

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  • I am supprised by the denomination "main line" for this poor way of handling the Albin... Isn't 4.Nf3 Cc6 5.g3 the old main line, and isn't 4.Nf3 Nc6 5.a3 the new main line ?
    – Evargalo
    Commented Sep 21, 2023 at 11:20
  • Oh yes, maybe I should edit it
    – FluidMechanics Potential Flows
    Commented Sep 21, 2023 at 12:32
  • 1
    You are correct about the pawn structure. Also black can develop with threats such as Nf6 bg4 if white now castle to protect b2
    – cmgchess
    Commented Sep 21, 2023 at 14:26

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The main reason in my opinion is that white has (scatteredly) expanded more than their position allows them to. it's important to keep a tight structure in these situations, which they have not managed to do.

In fact, their king is in danger for two reasons:

  • They need at least three tempis to castle, since queenside castle looks very dangerous
  • The main defender of their position, the essential e pawn, is isolated and can be defended for now only by their queen, so it already is a target.

In essence, black is ready to launch an attack and white is probably already late to defend.

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