Questions about game statistics, e.g. the winning percentage of a "line," the probability of some event occurring in a game, or player statistics.

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0
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1answer
29 views

For long OTB games, what is the percentage of players who have a rating which is below X FIDE Elo?

I am looking for statistics on the FIDE Elo of chess players. I would like to know what is the percentage of players who have a rating which is: Below 1000 Elo Below 800 Elo Below 600 Elo Below 400 ...
0
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0answers
47 views

What is the average length of OTB recent chess games played by GMs?

I would like to know what is the average length of chess games which satisfie the following conditions: They must have been played between the year 2004 and the year 2014. They must have been played ...
2
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1answer
65 views

Three questions on GM Larry Kaufman's article about the average relative value of the chess pieces

I have three questions related to this article written by GM Larry Kaufman: http://home.comcast.net/~danheisman/Articles/evaluation_of_material_imbalance.htm . Question n°1: Kaufman rounded all his ...
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2answers
83 views

What's the difference between a tempo and a tempi? At the start, how many tempo/tempi is White up? On average, how many tempo/tempi is one Pawn worth?

What's the difference between a tempo and a tempi? At the start, how many tempo/tempi is White up? Half, one, or two? On average, how many tempo/tempi is one Pawn worth? (For players rated near ~2200 ...
2
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1answer
89 views

Between 1.d4 and 1.Nf3, what is the White first move that generally leads to the most solid, positional, slow, closed, strategic and quiet positions?

I'm a ~1750 Elo player and I've been thinking of switching my opening repertoire for White. So my question is: between 1.d4 and 1.Nf3, what is the White first move that generally leads to the most ...
7
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1answer
255 views

1. e4, 1. d4, 1. c4, or 1. Nf3? Which opening move has given the greatest scoring percentage for White in World Championship Matches?

Which opening move out of 1. e4, 1. d4, 1. c4 and 1.Nf3 has given the best scoring percentage for White in World Championship matches? What are the percentages?
3
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2answers
127 views

Are world-class correspondence games more likely to be drawn that world class OTB games?

A games of chess with perfect play from both sides may be a draw. And while we don't have any perfect chess players it does seem that a match between two equally strong grandmasters is more likely to ...
3
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1answer
114 views

Can the total number of possible wins/draws/losses be calculated?

http://s13.postimg.org/miyhhh113/chess_finite_graph.png I'm trying to imagine the finite graph of all positions in chess. Due to the sheer number of possible positions, it is impossible with ...
2
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4answers
253 views

Are modern chess programs tactically perfect?

In a given situation, can we assume that a chess engine is tactically perfect - meaning that it can find all possible tactics which are there in that position. Is it possible for the best of modern ...
3
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2answers
245 views

20th Century Grand Master who had the highest draw percentage in his career?

Title says it all. For my own part; I am looking to learn and adopt a play style which does not necessarily win, but is typified as being incredibly difficult to actually win against.
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5answers
436 views

What are the first moves chosen (White), by brute force chess engines?

Title says it all. Feel free to add comment, theory, or explanation. Just to clarify, this is only regarding turn 1 of White, and no proceeding turns after it.
3
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2answers
123 views

Is there a standardized chess test that can measure one's chess playing condition?

Chess players often say that in a given tournament they were "in good shape", or the opposite. One tournament goes well, another goes horribly wrong. One can also sometimes feel that your head is ...
4
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2answers
78 views

What is the approximate number of unique positions added by each practical game of chess

The average number of moves in a game of chess is about 40. This would be an average of about 80 positions in each game, but many positions are shared between games. More sharing occurs at the ...
3
votes
4answers
456 views

How well does Elo rating estimate a player's strength?

Edit (3 March 2014): Proposal: strength is the real and rating is the model that estimates it. Question: How well does Elo rating estimate a player's strength? Bonus question: What happens if you ...
2
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2answers
76 views

How can I find the gained points per game?

In another post it was written that for games played during the 2013 World Championship match, Carlsen gained 3.7 points if he wins, Anand gained 6.3 points if he wins, and that in a draw Carlsen lost ...
5
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3answers
208 views

Are there any very lopsided scores in openings at lower levels?

I was reading this question: How to know how good an opening defense scores, and it got me wondering...Have there been very lopsided opening scores in the lower levels. For example, if we found out ...
1
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4answers
512 views

How popular is chess?

There's a survey on chess.com, Do your friends play chess?, and the results aren't very encouraging. Personally, very few of my friends play chess. Then I read this question: What's the most ...
4
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1answer
862 views

Minimum moves to checkmate?

What is the minimum number of moves, counting both sides, in which a checkmate can be made?
14
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2answers
2k views

What is the average length of a game of chess?

I hope this is an appropriate question for this site as it's something I've been curious about (and wanting a reputable answer). Of course this can vary wildly between games, but what is the expected ...
8
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5answers
902 views

Computer evaluations: How trustworthy are they?

Fritz 12 with Rybka gave a friend of mine an evaluation of +3 for white in this endgame position, which turned out to be a draw. But I've heard that +3 from a computer means a guaranteed win with ...
5
votes
1answer
107 views

Distribution of time per move

I am interested in the distribution of time (in seconds) that players take per move. To this end, I am looking for game traces that contain timing information. I have found a number of chess ...
15
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5answers
707 views

Does the first-move advantage for White have real meaning apart from the highest levels of play?

Most games that involve taking turns, with one player going first by lot or agreement, have some sort of advantage to going first. Tic-tac-toe, for instance, is a guaranteed draw for player 1, ...
6
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1answer
434 views

What merit is there to the so-called “Swiss gambit?”

The "Swiss gambit" refers to the idea of intentionally lowering one's performance at the beginning of a Swiss-system tournament, to one degree or another, in order to have an easier path through the ...
3
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2answers
294 views

Statistics on how a rating or winning percentage corresponds to the (opening, middle, end) game?

Have their been any statistics on how your knowledge on part of the game (opening, middle, end) corresponds to your rating or winning percentage? For example, I have found that if I play opening ...
5
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2answers
198 views

Are there statistics on the frequency of tactical motifs?

I was taking a look at the tactical motifs on chess tempo and I was curious to know which motifs are encountered most often and which motifs are encountered the least? Are their statistics for this?
15
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1answer
464 views

Do strong players move their pieces with different relative frequencies than weak players?

This question is an offshoot of Ramon Snir's earlier one about how often different types of pieces get moved, on average, in a game of chess. My question: Do the relative numbers of moves for the ...
8
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1answer
165 views

Piece movement statistics

I have wondered about piece movement statistics, for example: How many times is a piece moved in average (in general, but also per-piece, as I'm guessing the Queen moves more than any specific ...
4
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3answers
265 views

Are there any examples of high-level games in which the game was resigned or drawn without any captures?

Are there examples of high-level games which were resigned or drawn before any captures were made? Along similar lines, what game had the most moves before a capture was made? Edit: I'm especially ...
7
votes
2answers
572 views

Who is/was the lowest ranked World Chess Champion?

Boris Gelfand has just won the 7th of 12 games (all previous drawn) in the FIDE World Championship match against the current holder of the title Viswanathan Anand. This puts him in a good position to ...
5
votes
5answers
434 views

What is the last piece to be developed, and why?

Statistically speaking, for white and black, what is the last piece moved from its starting position, and why?
14
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2answers
439 views

Pawn to Queen probabilities chart

Statistically speaking, which white and black pawns are most likely to be queened?
7
votes
3answers
179 views

How do I obtain statistics on openings?

I'm looking for statistics on the probability of a given opening being used in a game, and by what percent its use is growing or declining over some set timeframe, for example, over the previous year. ...
19
votes
1answer
665 views

What openings typify 21st century chess?

What openings are particularly typical of 21st century chess so far? To be more clear, which openings are particularly popular in the 21st century relative to the 20th century? For example, certain ...
2
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3answers
211 views

Is it true that Chess is generally more played by men?

I have recently heard that the only 5% percent out of entire chess players are women. I find this suspicious. Who says that only men can play chess? Is this statistic true, and if it is, why?