Questions about game statistics, e.g. the winning percentage of a "line," the probability of some event occurring in a game, or player statistics.

learn more… | top users | synonyms

4
votes
4answers
83 views

What are some common statistical analyses we can run on many games (~20k games)?

I have a list of around 20k games played on a popular online website. I would like to run some statistical analyses on these games. I'm not talking about analysing specific games, but rather finding ...
1
vote
6answers
289 views

Does black really have a disadvantage?

Most people say chess is a draw, and it is quite believable, white is but a tempo up, and skill plays a lot of part in the game. But even the most skillful agree that blunders are made, in some games ...
0
votes
4answers
109 views

Average number of moves per game

What are the average number of moves per game with regards to what opening has been played?
3
votes
1answer
67 views

How many positions are there in n-pieces endgame tablebases for different values of n? [duplicate]

Note that I don't want the exact values, I only need approximations. And I am only interested in small values of n (not more than 12).
2
votes
1answer
73 views

Chess Olympiad statistcs

I have watched some matches played in the chess Olympiad in Tromsø. The majority of the games I watched, one player played english opening, and usually he won, I haven't seen any french opening game. ...
6
votes
4answers
143 views

Which piece is least likely to be taken?

If one were to analyse a large number of chess games, which specific piece (not type of piece) would be found to be taken the least number of times? And yes, in light of SomePatzer's comment, besides ...
2
votes
1answer
36 views

Could you explain me this part of GM Larry Kaufman's article on “The Evaluation of Material Imbalances”?

This is a stupid question that has more to do with English than with chess, so if other people also think it's stupid I can delete it after I get the answer. Since English is not my mother's tongue I ...
5
votes
1answer
87 views

Does GM Larry Kaufman's “principle of the redundancy of major pieces” truly exists? Or could this effect be caused by the number of Pawns instead?

The following is an extract from The Evaluation of Material Imbalances by GM Larry Kaufman. I put in bold characters everything that was important for this question. ...
0
votes
2answers
125 views

For long OTB games, what is the percentage of players who have a rating which is below X FIDE Elo?

I am looking for statistics on the FIDE Elo of chess players. I would like to know what is the percentage of players who have a rating which is: Below 1000 Elo Below 800 Elo Below 600 Elo Below 400 ...
0
votes
0answers
71 views

What is the average length of OTB recent chess games played by GMs?

I would like to know what is the average length of chess games which satisfie the following conditions: They must have been played between the year 2004 and the year 2014. They must have been played ...
3
votes
2answers
127 views

Three questions on GM Larry Kaufman's article about the average relative value of the chess pieces

I have three questions related to this article written by GM Larry Kaufman: http://home.comcast.net/~danheisman/Articles/evaluation_of_material_imbalance.htm . Question n°1: Kaufman rounded all his ...
1
vote
2answers
105 views

What's the difference between a tempo and a tempi? At the start, how many tempo/tempi is White up? On average, how many tempo/tempi is one Pawn worth?

What's the difference between a tempo and a tempi? At the start, how many tempo/tempi is White up? Half, one, or two? On average, how many tempo/tempi is one Pawn worth? (For players rated near ~2200 ...
2
votes
1answer
139 views

Between 1.d4 and 1.Nf3, what is the White first move that generally leads to the most solid, positional, slow, closed, strategic and quiet positions?

I'm a ~1750 Elo player and I've been thinking of switching my opening repertoire for White. So my question is: between 1.d4 and 1.Nf3, what is the White first move that generally leads to the most ...
7
votes
1answer
298 views

1. e4, 1. d4, 1. c4, or 1. Nf3? Which opening move has given the greatest scoring percentage for White in World Championship Matches?

Which opening move out of 1. e4, 1. d4, 1. c4 and 1.Nf3 has given the best scoring percentage for White in World Championship matches? What are the percentages?
3
votes
2answers
152 views

Are world-class correspondence games more likely to be drawn that world class OTB games?

A games of chess with perfect play from both sides may be a draw. And while we don't have any perfect chess players it does seem that a match between two equally strong grandmasters is more likely to ...
3
votes
1answer
136 views

Can the total number of possible wins/draws/losses be calculated?

http://s13.postimg.org/miyhhh113/chess_finite_graph.png I'm trying to imagine the finite graph of all positions in chess. Due to the sheer number of possible positions, it is impossible with ...
2
votes
4answers
298 views

Are modern chess programs tactically perfect?

In a given situation, can we assume that a chess engine is tactically perfect - meaning that it can find all possible tactics which are there in that position. Is it possible for the best of modern ...
3
votes
2answers
279 views

20th Century Grand Master who had the highest draw percentage in his career?

Title says it all. For my own part; I am looking to learn and adopt a play style which does not necessarily win, but is typified as being incredibly difficult to actually win against.
3
votes
5answers
465 views

What are the first moves chosen (White), by brute force chess engines?

Title says it all. Feel free to add comment, theory, or explanation. Just to clarify, this is only regarding turn 1 of White, and no proceeding turns after it.
3
votes
2answers
126 views

Is there a standardized chess test that can measure one's chess playing condition?

Chess players often say that in a given tournament they were "in good shape", or the opposite. One tournament goes well, another goes horribly wrong. One can also sometimes feel that your head is ...
4
votes
2answers
92 views

What is the approximate number of unique positions added by each practical game of chess

The average number of moves in a game of chess is about 40. This would be an average of about 80 positions in each game, but many positions are shared between games. More sharing occurs at the ...
3
votes
5answers
594 views

How well does Elo rating estimate a player's strength?

Edit (3 March 2014): Proposal: strength is the real and rating is the model that estimates it. Question: How well does Elo rating estimate a player's strength? Bonus question: What happens if you ...
2
votes
2answers
96 views

How can I find the gained points per game?

In another post it was written that for games played during the 2013 World Championship match, Carlsen gained 3.7 points if he wins, Anand gained 6.3 points if he wins, and that in a draw Carlsen lost ...
5
votes
3answers
214 views

Are there any very lopsided scores in openings at lower levels?

I was reading this question: How to know how good an opening defense scores, and it got me wondering...Have there been very lopsided opening scores in the lower levels. For example, if we found out ...
1
vote
4answers
632 views

How popular is chess?

There's a survey on chess.com, Do your friends play chess?, and the results aren't very encouraging. Personally, very few of my friends play chess. Then I read this question: What's the most ...
4
votes
1answer
1k views

Minimum moves to checkmate?

What is the minimum number of moves, counting both sides, in which a checkmate can be made?
14
votes
2answers
3k views

What is the average length of a game of chess?

I hope this is an appropriate question for this site as it's something I've been curious about (and wanting a reputable answer). Of course this can vary wildly between games, but what is the expected ...
8
votes
5answers
1k views

Computer evaluations: How trustworthy are they?

Fritz 12 with Rybka gave a friend of mine an evaluation of +3 for white in this endgame position, which turned out to be a draw. But I've heard that +3 from a computer means a guaranteed win with ...
5
votes
1answer
111 views

Distribution of time per move

I am interested in the distribution of time (in seconds) that players take per move. To this end, I am looking for game traces that contain timing information. I have found a number of chess ...
15
votes
5answers
857 views

Does the first-move advantage for White have real meaning apart from the highest levels of play?

Most games that involve taking turns, with one player going first by lot or agreement, have some sort of advantage to going first. Tic-tac-toe, for instance, is a guaranteed draw for player 1, ...
6
votes
1answer
491 views

What merit is there to the so-called “Swiss gambit?”

The "Swiss gambit" refers to the idea of intentionally lowering one's performance at the beginning of a Swiss-system tournament, to one degree or another, in order to have an easier path through the ...
3
votes
2answers
321 views

Statistics on how a rating or winning percentage corresponds to the (opening, middle, end) game?

Have their been any statistics on how your knowledge on part of the game (opening, middle, end) corresponds to your rating or winning percentage? For example, I have found that if I play opening ...
5
votes
2answers
212 views

Are there statistics on the frequency of tactical motifs?

I was taking a look at the tactical motifs on chess tempo and I was curious to know which motifs are encountered most often and which motifs are encountered the least? Are their statistics for this?
17
votes
1answer
518 views

Do strong players move their pieces with different relative frequencies than weak players?

This question is an offshoot of Ramon Snir's earlier one about how often different types of pieces get moved, on average, in a game of chess. My question: Do the relative numbers of moves for the ...
8
votes
1answer
175 views

Piece movement statistics

I have wondered about piece movement statistics, for example: How many times is a piece moved in average (in general, but also per-piece, as I'm guessing the Queen moves more than any specific ...
4
votes
3answers
277 views

Are there any examples of high-level games in which the game was resigned or drawn without any captures?

Are there examples of high-level games which were resigned or drawn before any captures were made? Along similar lines, what game had the most moves before a capture was made? Edit: I'm especially ...
8
votes
2answers
622 views

Who is/was the lowest ranked World Chess Champion?

Boris Gelfand has just won the 7th of 12 games (all previous drawn) in the FIDE World Championship match against the current holder of the title Viswanathan Anand. This puts him in a good position to ...
5
votes
5answers
444 views

What is the last piece to be developed, and why?

Statistically speaking, for white and black, what is the last piece moved from its starting position, and why?
14
votes
2answers
469 views

Pawn to Queen probabilities chart

Statistically speaking, which white and black pawns are most likely to be queened?
7
votes
3answers
189 views

How do I obtain statistics on openings?

I'm looking for statistics on the probability of a given opening being used in a game, and by what percent its use is growing or declining over some set timeframe, for example, over the previous year. ...
20
votes
1answer
720 views

What openings typify 21st century chess?

What openings are particularly typical of 21st century chess so far? To be more clear, which openings are particularly popular in the 21st century relative to the 20th century? For example, certain ...
2
votes
3answers
226 views

Is it true that Chess is generally more played by men?

I have recently heard that the only 5% percent out of entire chess players are women. I find this suspicious. Who says that only men can play chess? Is this statistic true, and if it is, why?